PERU fishing with guts to report…
The weather phenomenon El Niño, which already affects the Peruvian coast last until next April, reported the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), an agency that belongs to the National Weather Service United States.
The prediction is the most convincing, so far, of the American Meteorological Agency after the CPC observed El Niño conditions earlier this year.
"This El Niño likely will remain weak throughout its duration"Said the CPC in its monthly forecast. But to remain weak, their presence should force governments to adopt contingency plans for such cases.
In Peru, the responsible committee of the National Study of El Niño (ENFEN) met to discuss and update information of meteorological, oceanographic, biological-fishing and hydrological conditions and noted that neutral conditions of surface temperature are maintained sea, air temperature and mean sea level along the Peruvian coast.
Note that the Instituto del Mar del Peru (IMARPE) found in a recent study that estimated population of Anchovies in our sea is just 1.45 million tonnes. A year ago, at the same time, reached 10 million and never dropped below 4 million for 16 years.
Moderately warm Magnitude
On the other hand, confirmed that El Niño ENFEN coast during winter continues and has reached a moderate warm magnitude.
He announced further that end of the year the arrival of a new weak warm Kelvin wave is expected, discarding the development of an El Niño strong or extraordinary.
He explained that during the month of September, the South Pacific anticyclone (APS) presented an anomaly of up to 6 hectopascals (hPa) for atmospheric pressure.
In the Peruvian coast, sea surface temperature, air temperature and sea level showed, on average, values around its average;
Anchovies
The approximation of surface ocean waters shoreward effect of weakening of the winds, and the continuity of warm water in deep layers of the sea by the persistence of Kelvin waves in recent months, have significantly reduced the range of Anchovies
Meanwhile, Coastal El Niño Index (ICEN) showed so far four consecutive months of warmer conditions, of which the last three months belong to the range of moderate warm. This indicates that El Niño coastal had gone from a weak to moderate marginally warm warm magnitude more intense in July, although a trend toward normalization is observed.
Impact on the economy
El Nino is a warming of Pacific Ocean surface temperatures, which can cause flooding and heavy rains in South America and in the United States and cause droughts in Southeast Asia and Australia.
This type of weather events generate a greater or lesser extent, problems in the food supply with the economic costs involved for the countries most affected.
As recalled, the phenomenon was nicknamed El Niño for the first time in Peru and Ecuador by fishermen and there are references to it from the Colony.
In Peru there have been floods, mainly in the north. However, El Niño could also trigger droughts in Australia, a country that is already battling a dry climate, and thereby reduce the production of wheat, sugar and cotton.
In Indonesia and Malaysia, El Niño rains often result in below average in the largest producers of palm oil, with detrimental effects on performance and prices of various products.
It could also damage crops in Thailand, one of the leading rice exporters in the world, with a possible worsening drought conditions that can occur in March-April.
SOURCE: Expreso.com.pe
