PERU fishing with guts to report…
The Fisheries, Livestock and Agriculture altoandina be the sectors most affected by climate change in Peru in the coming years, according to a joint study by the Peruvian government, the United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) and the Inter (IDB), released today.
Inform theand "The Economics of Climate Change in Peru", Presented today at the Twenty Climate Change Conference (COP20), also notes that the hydropower, mining, tourism, health and infrastructure may also suffer adverse impacts from global warming.
The study emphasizes that Peru is considered a country highly vulnerable to climate change by having low, arid and semi-arid areas, areas susceptible to deforestation, erosion, natural disasters, drought and desertification, highly polluted urban coastal areas, and fragile ecosystems.
It also indicates that by the year 2100 impacts that would result in losses to the national economy, ranging in the range of 11.4 and 15.4 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2010 (base year used in research) project .
The study explains that the impact on the Peruvian fisheries sector would be concentrated in the fall in catching Anchovies, which affect the production of fishmeal.
This would mean that by the end of the century, the losses would total up to 30 times the current gross domestic product sector.
Regarding the hydropower sector, the study warns that suffer impacts due to reduced availability of water resources, a situation that also affect mining.
Due to the expansion of the agricultural area, decreases in water availability for hydropower would be observed, which would cause a decrease in accumulated earnings between 3.3 and 5 percent of sectoral GDP.
The agricultural sector could also suffer losses equivalent to between 23.9 and 33.1 percent of sectoral GDP for the period 2010 – 2100 in the scenarios assessed in the report.
According to the study, this would be due to decreased productivity of almost all selected crops (potatoes, rice, yellow corn, sugar cane, banana and corn starch), while coffee show slight increases in productivity at the beginning period and then decreased.
With regard to mining, it is expected a cumulative reduction for the whole period 15 percent of sectoral GDP, while for livestock altoandina the results show that the impacts would be due to reduced grazing land and expansion of the Sector agriculture, which would lead to a cumulative maximum loss equivalent to 90 percent of the livestock GDP.
In relation to tourism, increase in extreme weather events could decrease the number of visitors to the main attractions of the country as Machu Picchu, where losses of between 15 and 30 percent of the sector's GDP is calculated.
The effects of climate change in Peruvian road infrastructure sector would generate an increase in public spending, while in the field of health, the State strengthen the resources for the treatment of malaria.
SOURCE: Andina.com.pe
