PERU fishing with guts to report…
By weakening the trade winds, the Pacific Ocean presents new evidence of an El Niño developing, leading Asia drought and heavy rain to South America, according to a meteorological agency Australia.
The likelihood that the pattern established this year are at least 50%, and five of eight climate models estimate that occur during the spring, beginning in September, said today on its website the Bureau of Meteorology there. Of the phenomenon occur, is not likely to be strong, he added.
El Niño can affect agricultural markets as producers face drought or excessive rain.
"Due to a weakening of the trade, there has been some warming in the central and eastern Ecuador in the Pacific Ocean in the last fortnight," said forecaster Melbourne. "If the trade remains weak, it is possible to further warming that approaches the threshold of El Niño".
The odds of a patterning declined to about 65% during autumn and early winter in the northern hemisphere, said on August 7 Climate Forecast Center of the United States.
Last month, the probability was nearly 80%. The possibility of installing the phenomenon this fall and winter are lower than previous estimates, said the Japan Meteorological Agency.
Weak Phenomenon
The index Southern Oscillation 30 days until August 10, which indicates the development and intensity of El Niño or La Niña, was less than 5.2, according to the weather bureau Australia. Sustained negative values below minus 8 may indicate the development of El Niño, according to the office.
It is likely that the pattern develops as a weak late summer or early fall phenomenon, according to MDA Weather Services. Commodity Weather Group LLC said last month that could be delayed several months in both the Pacific Ocean warming slows.
El Niño, due to periodic warming of the tropical Pacific, occurs at intervals of two to seven years and linked with warmer than average years. The phenomenon last set of 2009-2010, and since then the Pacific has been in neutral conditions or in colder stage, called La Niña.
SOURCE: Gestion.pe
