El Niño is still a possibility for 2014

The Pacific Ocean has shown some signs of renewed development of El Niño.

Some warming has occurred in the equatorial central and eastern Pacific Ocean in the recent fortnight due to a weakening of the trade winds. If the trade winds remain weak, it may progress to warm El Niño thresholds.

The ENSO-Office Tracker keeps ALERT status. This means that there is a probability of at least 50% to manifest El Niño in 2014 will Five of the eight climate models surveyed by the Bureau suggest the likelihood of El Niño for spring. However, if El Niño occurs, is unlikely to be strong, which means it would be from weak to moderate.